What will the 2027 Social Security COLA be? #
The official 2027 Social Security COLA is 3.6%, applying to benefits paid starting January 2027. The 2026 COLA was 2.8%.
- Official 2027 COLA: 3.6%.
- Pre-announcement projections stood at 3.5%.
- SSA announcement verified October 14, 2026.
- 2026 COLA (current, for comparison): 2.8%.
- The COLA is calculated from average CPI-W for July, August, and September 2026 vs. the same quarter of 2025.
Pre-announcement 2027 COLA projections #
Each card preserves an independent pre-announcement estimate so you can compare it with SSA's official result.
The Senior Citizens League (TSCL) #
As of 2026-09-11
September estimate: 3.5%, down from 3.6% in August, following the August CPI release.
Mary Johnson (independent Social Security analyst) #
As of 2026-09-11
September estimate: 3.5%, up from 3.4% in August, reported by CNBC on September 11, 2026.
How the COLA is actually calculated #
The Social Security COLA equals the percentage increase in the average CPI-W (Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers) for July, August, and September 2026 over the same quarter of 2025.
For comparison, the current 2026 COLA is 2.8%.
Will you actually keep it? #
For most retirees, the Medicare Part B premium — announced by CMS each fall — is deducted directly from the Social Security check. When the Part B premium rises, it absorbs part (sometimes most) of the gross COLA. High-income beneficiaries also pay IRMAA surcharges on top of the base Part B premium, which reduces the net raise further.